Welcome

'Three' by Cathy Karklyn

Thanks for stopping by. This began as my personal site but has been re-focused on facts about the climate crisis, because nothing is more important. We're not just watching the biggest trainwreck in human history, we're on the train. The climate situation is deteriorating rapidly. We are running out of time.

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The accepted measure of evolutionary success is how long a species survives. Our species has been here only a very brief period - about a quarter million years. Agriculture-based civilization has been here only about ten thousand years. And our petroleum-powered industrial society is only a few hundred years old. Yet in this very brief period we've trashed the place. As time goes on this only becomes more obvious.

But, think it's obvious now? Just wait. Climate change is a lagging indicator; the effects we see today are mostly from the trashing we did years and decades ago. Every year our trashing is more extensive than the year before, and it seems to be coming to a head.

Climate change itself isn't what will get us, I think. That will come later (and won't help). First though, the bare beginnings of it will thoroughly disrupt the fragile house of cards of our globally interconnected economic system, making a mess of this thing we call civilization. Ever play Jenga? Don't have to remove many blocks before the whole thing collapses. This may begin as soon as the mid-2020s. Even if some fraction of homo so-called sapiens survives that, given what will remain I wonder what life will look like for them. For us.

Still, it's a privilege to have a front row table at the restaurant at the end of the universe. We get to watch this amazing trainwreck happen in real time. Quite a show.

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I've been following the scientific literature regarding climate change for a long time, and saved articles and studies I found especially interesting, which became the core of my climate research list when I turned my personal site into this climate site. I've always liked history and facts in general. Facts provide context. With context, data can become knowledge. Without it, all you have is noise. If you like, there is more context about me on the About page.

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My original idea for this website was to post a well-curated list of notable research articles, to allow people to read for themselves and draw their own conclusions. But that list has grown quite large. So, in addition some have asked me for an overview of where the climate situation is going. Here is my best guess on that, and here are some perspectives from others that I've found illuminating. If you're looking for a big-picture overview these two pages are a good place to start.

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I have also provided a sample of articles on John Calhoun. His famous rodent habitat studies documented that even while providing all physical requirements for a population, stress (which he induced through overcrowding) will always lead to the population's extinction, with notable exhibition of bizarre and self-defeating behaviors along the way, and especially towards the end of the habitat's cycle. As modern living, and in particular the looming climate crisis, create ever greater stress in our own habitat, consideration of whether Calhoun's findings apply to our current situation may well be in order.

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The painting to the left is called "Three" and is by my wife Cathy Karklyn. You can see more of her work here.

 


"It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it." (Upton Sinclair)
However, "The good thing about science is that it's true whether or not you believe in it." (Neil deGrasse Tyson)

Except where otherwise noted, content on this site is © Barry Smiler and is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) license.